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Old 10-27-2006   #1 (permalink)
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The Roulette Conundrum

Here is a probabilty puzzle, the answer to which may be disputed.

Given an unbiased roulette wheel with a single zero:

"How many non-zero spins are most likely to occur consecutively?"

To avoid any ambiguity, imagine you had to bet on precisely how many 1-36 numbers will come up between two zero spins. Assume that if you guessed correctly you would win a large money jackpot - and you're allowed to bet on any figure you like.

Which figure would you choose?
Or are they all equally probable?

Simon
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