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Old 03-24-2008   #231 (permalink)
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Re: My belief in Global Warming is getting shaky

Good points about public perception of science, etc.
I heard someone talk about a sort of checklist of hurdles to overcome before denial of climate change could be overcome (see below).

"git-r-done!" ??

Speaking of doing something....

Sometimes one isn't very far along on the spectrum of "Threshold for Action."

1. See that a problem exists.
2. See that it is serious.
3. See that there is a root cause.
4. Be certain of views.
5. Be certain that it is solvable.


...and speaking of certainty....
There is a lot of language of uncertainty in those two scientific papers (Schwartz & Levitus) quoted in that previous post #196.
But it is just an uncertainty of refinements and new data (respectively) regarding climate change; not uncertainty in the whole body of climate change science.

Did anyone notice that quote at the end of #196 from Beltrami, et al., on Heating of the Earths Crust?
"These fluxes indicate that 30% of the heat gained by the ground in the last five centuries was deposited during the last fifty years, and over half of the five-century heat gain occurred during the 20th century."

...not equivocal.

That's a new, and fairly dramatic, "Hockey Stick!"

Again, it's not widely validated (yet); but taken meta-analytically, it is another point on the Anthro side.

p.s.
Schwartz's low, 5 year, quotient of the relaxation time constant (equilibrium climate sensitivity) augers well for the "solvability" part of the equation; but I have to suspect that it's really at least double that.
 
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