|
Not Ranked
:
+0 / -0
0 score
Re: My belief in Global Warming is getting shaky
But Overdog, this phrase: "reasonably assume they are accurate" is yours. Why would you then say: "That might be true, but we are talking about nothing less than prophesy."
So are the models "reasonable to assume they are accurate"
or
"Nothing less than prophesy"?
As for "there is presently no basis for assesing the accuracy of the models."
I would disagree. If a model gives you accurate back testing I would say that is at least the first step in validation.
Aside from back testing, models predicted a warmer troposphere. Satellite measurements showed a lower temperature than the models. Later, it was discovered an error in the satellite data gave erroneously low temps. After this was corrected, the satellite measurements support the models.
I have read that using models have even led to discovery of some other minor variables to climate. I have not been able to find a source for this yet although if true, it represents a strength of validity in climate models.
The links Infi posted are also excellent and I highly recommend them.
----------------
"Treat the earth well: it was not given to you by your parents; it was loaned to you by your children. We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors, we borrow it from our children.
(Ancient Indian Proverb)"
1874 engraving of Mount Hood and the Columbia River by R. Henshel Wood
|
