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Old 03-30-2009   #45 (permalink)
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Re: The Economic recover: anyone willing to make a prediction?

I knew nothing about economics before September, but since then it has been my favorite subject.

My prediction is not an exact one because I don't have an exact enough idea (neither does anybody else), but my somewhat educated guess presented informally and imprecisely is that there is a decent chance that winter of 09 we will see more jobs created than jobs lost, that the the longer we go past 09 the higher the likelyhood of the recession turning, that Obama will be our FDR and handsomely win again in 2012, and many of us will have forgotten this moderate recession in a few years time.
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