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Re: Science, lies, ethics and the written word
Based on the data available, one we draw a reasonable conclusion. The more immediate the assessment of a story, the less data there is available, therefore the more off the logic can be, with respect to the final reality. For example, if we had two data points, the best logical conclusion is we have a line. If we have three data points, it can still be a line, within a margin of error, but it can now also be a triangle or the arc of a curve. The controversy begins as others add data.
If we add a fourth data point, it can still be a line, but within a different margin of error, a triangle within its own margin of error, an arc within its margin of error, but now also a quadrangle. If we waited until all the data was in, say a hundred data points, it becomes much more clear what is real. Unfortunately, in a competitive news market, real is the last to get to printed, maybe on page 23 several weeks down the line. The two data point line deducers get published first, on page one, immediately.
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