Science Forums 2

[Jway]

First off, I find the news in recent days of Iran protests, eye opening. Perhaps it's a bit naivete on my part, but it seems more like an underlying current is elevated to the surface, and it is a current that I think is hardly unique to Iran. I think similar current exists in US, but in US, it would be called something else, something very sinister.

Anyway, I have 2 questions, somewhat rhetorical, but am hoping for discussion and commentary on this.

1 - If Mousavi is hand picked by the regime, and wins the presidential election, why would he not be allowed to take office?

The important words in that question, IMO, is "if he is hand picked." If he is not, then I can understand why not. You'd think there would be someone in high place of power in Iran who thought this through and realizes, "wow, we completely mismanaged this one." How, is Iran not getting exactly what it deserves, via violent protests, IF they hand pick a candidate, that candidate wins majority, and then they go with the minority leader instead?

2 - Now, let's say Iran's current regime is toppled. Let's also say that instead of the protesters being around 51% of the population or up to 67%, let's go with liberal estimate that says 75% of the people in Iran want regime change. And let's say that change occurs. Let's say it is, after this uprising, a peaceful transition. With me so far?

Okay, now let's say it is 3 months later, and there is a new sheriff in the town known as Iran. One that is favorable to the US and Israel. My question is, what do people (today) think that 25% population is going to do? Stop being repressive? Stop hating the west? Stop advocating and financially supporting factions on this planet that wish to see Israel wiped off the face of the earth?

If Iraq faced an insurgency that has lasted 5 years and counting, I'm wondering what the world thinks will happen in Iran? Are the protesters and those who are advocating for new regime making any friends, earning any respect with what could be fairly powerful sect within the new government?

I realize this is all still playing out, but let us again return to the idea that the new leader Mousavi, was HAND PICKED by the repressive regime. And this new regime will benefit Israel, and it's western alliances, how?