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Old 06-20-2009   #2 (permalink)
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Re: Politics of Iran

That requires a few too many assumptions.

My Iranian sources tell me the urban, western leaning, middle class of Iran constitute a slight majority, but are disorganized, having a half dozen or so different competing factions. That allows the well-armed, well-organized, rural, religious minority to remain in power.

Absent a blood investment by the middle class, nothing will change. I'm not optimistic.

I'd rather not get into an analogy with U.S. politics. There's enough complexity to Iranian politics to keep us busy.

--lemit


----------------


The only second chance we get in life is a chance to make the same mistake twice. --David Mamet

A mind is a terrible thing to close.

Entropy is just nature's way of telling us it's time to slow down.
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