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Old 07-20-2005   #7 (permalink)
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Re: Mind reading may require ... antimatter!

Have you read The Law of Accelerating Returns by Ray Kurzweil yet? It's a really long paper but worth the read. Mainly it's about the exponential growth of the exponential rate of growth of technology. (yes, that's what I meant to say) Some prominent dates from his analysis include the following:

* We achieve one Human Brain capability (2 * 10^16 cps) for $1,000 around the year 2023.
* We achieve one Human Brain capability (2 * 10^16 cps) for one cent around the year 2037.
* We achieve one Human Race capability (2 * 10^26 cps) for $1,000 around the year 2049.
* We achieve one Human Race capability (2 * 10^26 cps) for one cent around the year 2059.

Something to think about....


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