Quote:
Originally posted by: TeleMad
Unfortunately, what the book is going to boil down to, is "There MUST be other intelligent life somewhere in our Universe IF THE UNSUPPORTED ASSUMPTIONS I MAKE TURN OUT TO BE TRUE". Read the book if you want and enjoy it like any other good fiction novel.
|
Funny, that's not what the book's jacket indicated! :-)
On Amazon there is mixed reviews.
SO I did a little Googleing. The biggest challenge was finding sites that were not either generic Book Reviews or "personal opinions" from those not in a position to make critical scientific analysis, e.g. he draws a lot of ire from Christian sites because he supports the idea that their god would create someone else besides them. This also means ignoring sites such as Uri Geller's or UFOers. WHile plain book review sites had good things to say because they wanted to sell you the book.
I tried to stick with sites that either were from educational institutions (.edu's) or sites that had some related scientific orientation, such as the SETI League. I found many sites that listed the book favorably as a resource on the SCIENTIFIC or STATISTICAL exploration of possible ETI. But most just listed the book and perhaps had a sentice or two, but not anything addressing specific accuracies.
These three filled the bill. Education/ Science orientation with some details RE accuracy of the presentation. Unlike at the Amazon site, I did not find a single site which met these criteria which warned against the book's (lack of?) accuracy. The only consistant possibly negative comment was that the book is more of a surface level understanding. It is not a detailed scientific manual.
SETI Book Review: Probability 1
The SETI League, Inc.
"For me, the book became more interesting as Aczel introduced mathematics (don't worry-the concepts don't transcend high-school algebra and probability), and the combination of science and a statistical framework to find solutions to problems that were thought to contain no answer. The focus of this book, and what makes it different from all of the others, once again, is the attempt Aczel makes at mathematically proving extraterrestrial existence-and the kind of existence SETI is looking for. Think of the book as a eulogy to Carl Sagan, who himself wished to write an analogous book, but unfortunately never got around to writing it. Aczel is no Sagan, but then again, who really is?"
http://www.setileague.org/reviews/probabil.htm
SEDS
S P A C E V I E W S
Book Review
"While much of the background material will be old hat for those already familiar with the field, and is not otherwise distinctive, his conclusions are novel but are firmly rooted in his analysis. For anyone looking for new evidence that we are almost certainly not alone in the universe, "Probability 1" will be an excellent read." (Students for the Exploration and Development of Space was founded in 1980 at MIT and Princeton)
http://www.seds.org/pub/info/newsletters/spaceviews/text/990108.txt
MathK-PHD
Our purpose: To bring you readable books on unreadable subjects.
Our criteria for book selection:
(1.) The book must be factually correct.
(2.) It must be readable (i.e. understandable) for non-mathematicians as well as serious mathematicians within the age and knowledge limits listed.
[i]"Aczel tackles that paradox after he goes through the statistical calculations for the probability of intelligent life, considering factors such as how many stars are in a galaxy, how many of those stars might be hospitable, how many might have planets, and how many planets might have environments suitable to support life as we know it (or as
----------------
Thanks for helping to get god pounded into my head
Another succesful faith based initiative. Just like 9/11