Let's test our predictive abilities by making a prediction for the next week that is both not complete nonsense & verifiable when time has run out. I'll go first with a sample; any topic will do.
Prediction: Within 1 week Yellowstone will have a 4.5 or higher quake either in or near the caldera.
Now we casually keep score & point out the non-scientific statistics with significant deviations.
---------------- semantics is not always just pedantic quibbling. ~ douglas r. hofstadter
That doesn't meet the verification standard I have in mind; the group must agree objectively that a prediction is met. News reports, pictures, data etc. to support a correct prediction.. In balance to that, we don't want trivial predictions like "the sun will rise" & so forth.This is a strange claim, but it's a scientific strange claim if we make it that way.
---------------- semantics is not always just pedantic quibbling. ~ douglas r. hofstadter
One week from today (Saturday 2-4-6) this world will still be here.
___Uhhh...no. Not that it's not a prediction, but it violates the stated restriction in post #2: "In balance to that, we don't want trivial predictions like "the sun will rise" & so forth"
Quote:
Originally Posted by Infamous
I predict: Within one week from today, a Hollywood couple will announce their intended divorce......................Infy
___Got cha logged Infy.
___Boerseun, is there a prediction in there?
---------------- semantics is not always just pedantic quibbling. ~ douglas r. hofstadter
My kids will still be trying to finish Donkey Kong 64 without success.
There will be a Sasquatch sighting to add energy to the impending expidition.
My Hypography rep will hit 30.
My husband rep will still hover near zero. (I am riding out the storm, no apologies for ignorance this year!)
Bill
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The truth is incontravertible; malice may attack it, ignorance may deride it, but in the end there it is. - Winston Churchill